Expert.ai has been sifting through hundreds of thousands of social-media posts to determine which candidate is currently winning the race. Using a natural-language processor to extract what its algorithms determine to be the most relevant information, it currently shows Biden slightly ahead of Trump, with a lead so narrow that it’s hardly a lead at all. It’s too early to know if Expert.ai’s model will be more accurate than traditional polling, but a recent article in Fortune magazine pointed out that Expert.ai correctly predicted Brexit, and would have come closer to anticipating Trump’s success in 2016 than the polls led the public to believe.
Can we trust the polls?